Probably, in the recent history of Islamic terror (and not only), there has never been an attack that was not "predicted" by 24 / 48 hours after it happened. The second is no exception Massacre of Paris.
As learned from theAssociated PressIraqi intelligence had warned some member countries of the Coalition of an impending terrorist attack. The warning (the document is official albeit only partially disclosed) was delivered to the 24 countries concerned hours before the tragic events in Paris. Iraqis have sent dispatches to France, Iran, the United States and Russia, warning them of an imminent attack ordered by Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi. The Iraqis, however, have not communicated the specifics of the place of the attack.
The French Ministry of Defense immediately replied, announcing that "every day, 24 hours on 24, we receive dispatches about upcoming attacks". Fundamentalists have been planning attacks around the world for years, but in recent weeks, there has been a sort of "greater awareness" of an imminent attack.
Iraqi intelligence, even today, continues to reiterate the importance of its dispatch in which mention was made of France as the first target country. Indeed (this is the thesis of the Iraqis) there would be another dispatch, not yet announced by Paris, which would confirm an imminent attack in one of the great cities of France. According to the Iraqis, the second Massacre of Paris it would be planned in Raqqa (struck by French aviation a few hours ago), with terrorists trained specifically for this mission.
A sleeping cell, not yet identified - according to the Iraqis - he would help the terrorists once they returned to France.
The Paris attacks were carried out by 24 people: 19 in the field and five managers of logistics and planning.
The Iraqi Foreign Minister, Ibrahim al-Jaafari, is adding to the dose: "we had obtained information and we immediately notified France, the United States and Iran". Beyond the dispatches, it would be appropriate to recall the words of the French prime minister, on the sidelines of the attacks on the editing of the newspaper Charlie Hebdo. At that juncture, intelligence "shortcomings" were highlighted.
In reality, the factors that can justify these "shortcomings" are many: from the immense flow of information to the limited preventive action methods. As well as, finally, the constant alarms about potential attacks by trained cells in the Middle East. The problem is probabilistic: even the most powerful country in the world can foil the 99% of attacks. This means that he might not be able to thwart even that single chance of a successful assassination attempt.
In defense of the French the lack of reliability of the Iraqi secret services, several times in the past authors of information that later proved to be baseless or even retracted.
(in the photo the Prime Minister Manuel Valls)
