Persian Gulf incident: What if the Iranians got hold of the American "crypto" material?

(To Massimiliano D'Elia)
15/01/16

The story of boundless sailors in Iranian territorial waters is still shrouded in the thickest mystery. The military and technicians are analyzing the data of the two boats to be able to understand the origin of the "technical failure". The Americans are directing the communication on the technical failure, on a human error when planning the mission, or on the combination of both.

According to accredited US sources, this would be a "wrong" refueling appointment.

In fact, to go from Bahrain to Kuwait, the boats need refueling and the refueling meeting point was about three miles west of the 12 mile limit (limit of the beginning of Iranian territorial waters), near Farsi Island. To reach the meeting, the two boats had to deviate their course, and ended up in Iranian waters. Many say "without realizing it".

"Nobody can figure out what didn't work." Usually, when you go off course you get a notification from Command and Control Center, which is on the major ships.

One advanced theory is that the crews had taken a shortcut to reach the refueling meeting point, within Iranian territorial waters and due to a technical failure they had to slow down the race and therefore easily reached by the Iranians.

An aspect of great embarrassment is, however, the “crypto” material of the boats.

It is not known, for reasons of secrecy, whether the American classified network has been compromised or not. It would be serious damage to American classified communications around the world. Once the encryption keys and encryption systems in use are revealed, you're done. The Americans will have to run immediately to the shelter, "that is already from yesterday"! And having lost the keys to communications classified as failures, apparently venial, is very serious for a military superpower.

The point is that we want to direct everything on the combination of errors, human and technical. The Command and Control Center, probably knew of the trespassing and neglected the emergency because the CB90 boats, thanks to their high speed, could hardly be reached by the Iranians.

On the fact that "both" the boats had had the technical failure, I would have doubts, statistically it is really difficult to reach, in the field of probabilities, this combination.

Instead, it could be incorrect mission planning. The amount of fuel loaded, compared to the cruising speed held on the mission. This could justify the sudden change of the route - the aforementioned shortcut - unfortunately, however, the misfortune was raging and the fuel ran out in the wrong stretch of sea.

(photo: US DoD / web)