With the world's eyes on the Ukrainian war, it is often forgotten that there are other outbreaks ready to explode.
Surely Iran is one of the main ones, as the Tehran regime is continuing with its uranium enrichment project and, recently, has signed important economic and military agreements with Moscow.
On July 18, Israel's chief of staff, General Kochavi, reminded the world (and possibly the Biden administration as well) that “Israel continues to actively prepare an attack on Iran in order to be in a position to deal with any eventuality. Our preparations for military action against the Iranian nuclear project - he added - they are at the heart of all our military projects in general. "
He also pointed out that "Israeli preparations include a range of operations, the deployment of reserves, supplies of adequate combat assets, intelligence and training."
The Israeli chief of staff said this a few hours after the statements of Kamal Kharazi, president of the Strategic Council for International Relations, according to which "Iran has the technical capabilities to make an atomic bomb", even if in this regard, he added, "has not yet made any final decisions".
Iran is a key power in the Middle East, which could become a nuclear state in open conflict with the Jewish state.
For years on Washington's "bad list" (Iran in 2001 was labeled as part of a axis of male), so much so that immediately after 11/XNUMX, some "hawks" close to George W. Bush pushed for a military attack on the regime in Tehran. However, this intent was blocked by the then Secretary of State, General Powell, who made it clear that an air campaign against the Islamic Republic would have very limited effects and that an intervention by ground troops would have resulted in a significant number of casualties.
Paradoxically, the American work has contributed greatly to making Iran a regional power. In fact, the US eliminated the Sunni regime, in power for decades in Iraq, which had invaded Iran (war of 1980-88). Today Mesopotamia has returned to being a buffer area in front of Iran, which has the function of discouraging any forces that might want to invade the country. At the same time, it constitutes a political space through which Tehran can project its influence.
The various administrations that followed the White House, after the invasion of 2003, believed (!) That democracy would sooner or later assert itself in Iraq, instead the leaders of the Shiite majority worked under the table to ensure control of the country. The parliamentary elections of 10 October 2021 saw the Sadrist Movement (Shiite nationalists) obtain a relative majority of seats (73).
President Assad, who belongs to the Alawite minority, an appendage of Shiite Islam, remained in power in Damascus. Geographically, Syria is very close to Beirut, where Hezbollah (trained and financed by Tehran) is now the largest military force in the country of the Cedars. Shiite militias control most of southern Lebanon, which is the border line with the Jewish state.
Apparently the Islamic Republic is now close to Israel.
Tensions between the US and Iran reached their highest point when Trump was elected to the White House. He tore up the Nuclear Agreement, reintroduced sanctions and "advised against" European countries (Italy was one of the main trading partners) from continuing to do business with Tehran.
In 2019 the shooting down of the RQ-4 took place Overseas hubs Hawk by the Iranian Revolutionary Guards on the Persian Gulf. A series of US retaliatory air strikes were canceled at the last minute.
For some time now, some signs have indicated that power in Tehran is passing from the religious authorities to the military, or the body of Guards of the Revolution. The boards of directors of the Iranian spas are now full of former officers of the Guards. Their involvement in the construction of public infrastructures, such as the Tehran metro, is very important. In theory they should be the "guardians" of the Islamic revolution, in practice they take money on every public contract. This does not mean that the "guardians" are planning to take power, Iran is and will remain a revolutionary theocracy.
There is no doubt that the rush to grab the atomic weapon will sooner or later lead Saudi Arabia to do the same. Israel knows very well that it cannot allow a proliferation of nuclear weapons to take place in the region. However, the situation is totally different from 1981, when the F-15 and F-16 with the star of David hit the Iraqi reactor (Operation Babylon). The Iranian plants, which are dealing with uranium enrichment, are many and diversified, and they are also located in protected places, guarded by surface-to-air missile systems (bubbles A2 / AD).
It is likely that this sort of "secret war" will continue for a while longer, in which Jerusalem will conduct hybrid attacks, eliminating Iranian scientists (Colonel Hassan Sayad Khodayari, of the Quds Force 840, was killed by gunfire last May 22 in Tehran), rather than hacking the servers of nuclear power plants.
Photo: Israeli Air Force