THEInternational Syria Support Group formed by representatives of the United Nations, United States, Russia, European Union, Arab League, China, Egypt, France, Germany, Great Britain, Iran, Iraq, Italy, Jordan, Lebanon, Organization for Islamic Cooperation, Oman, Qatar, Arabia Saudi Arabia, Turkey, the United Arab Emirates announced today in Monaco the reaching of an agreement on Syria.
More than an agreement, it is essentially a convergence of intentions: immediate humanitarian aid for the populations torn apart by the conflict and a ceasefire (not officially mentioned) within a week.
The final product actually hides a deep split within the subjects who took part in the work: as has been known for months, on the one hand there is Russia defending the interests of Damascus absent in Munich; on the other, the variegated front of the oppositions fueled by the Sunni cartel formed by Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Qatar and the Emirates, in turn comforted by the United States.
Behind the curtain of human rights lies a geopolitical game of a range not only regional. The US and Turkey are pressing for a real ceasefire as quickly as possible to avoid further progress of the operation of reconquest of the Syrian Armed Forces of the territories torn off by the Islamist branches and the Free Syrian Army deserters between the 2012 and 2014. Russia, engaged in political and military support for the Damascus government, presses on the contrary to consolidate the advantageous positions reached in the field.
It is no coincidence that the news from Ankara would be fresh according to which Erdogan would push Washington to insert into the future agreements the establishment of one No Fly Zone in the north of Syria. Turkey, in obvious international embarrassment for the now overwhelming military support to the Al Nusra terrorists of the Turkic ethnic group (see reportage), would thus try to freeze the air superiority achieved by the Syrians with the direct and indirect help of the Russians in a strip of territory that for three years it was able to control more or less freely.
Turkey would now also be aware of the failure of the project to create a buffer area on the border with Syria to be administered precisely with the Islamic (and Islamist ...) populations of Turkish origin. The "protected zone" would have guaranteed the management of refugees outside their borders and a political downsizing of the Kurdish-Syrian militias, decisive for their internal politics. Needless to say that the territorial subtraction in Damascus would have had a significant geopolitical significance in the entire region, with a clearing also evident to Iran's pro-Iranian commitment.
The weapon of the refugee threat played by Erdogan against the European Union would therefore be the reserve card of Ankara, which would collect 3 billions of dollars from European fears. The flattening of Brussels and of the individual chancelleries at the turn of the Turkish shields, is a figure of enormous gravity on which we are talking very little.
Returning to the Munich agreement, the not too subtle interpretation that it intends to divide between the warmongers (Syria and Russia) and peace advocates (the Sunni front) thus leaves the time it finds. The same operators, among which Farah Atassi, member of the High Negotiations Committee (behind which there is the shadow look at Saudi Arabia ed), they are more confusing than clarity. Also because we are still in the field of theory and the main actors of the war in Syria (government and terrorists) are not involved in the work, for obvious and understandable reasons.
In this regard, Difesa Online is keen to emphasize that the news reported by almost all the media is not directly proven on the ground. Journalists accredited by the Syrian government (until proven otherwise the only one to have the right on their territory) can be counted on the fingers of one hand. In the vast majority of cases, scoops are nothing more than copy-and-paste of fragments collected around and repeated at convenience.
It is therefore also good for human rights, go there with feet of lead. We were in Aleppo when others even ignored its existence and the current overdose of news from the Syrian city, hot front of the government's revenge, makes us remain at least perplexed.
The 16 meets in Geneva a humanitarian task force that will discuss a UN plan for a direct aid intervention to the populations devastated by 5 years of war. If it does not turn into a soap bubble, it could be among the few serious news among the many tales told about Syria.
(Photo: القوات المسلحه السورية)
