Goals in Turkey: Let's see clearly

(To Giampiero Venturi)
23/07/16

Illuminating revelations are multiplying in the media all over the world. The coup in Turkey would have been a great staging aimed at strengthening the power of Erdogan, a master puppeteer.

You know. Bar-wide omniscience and detective dietrology across the board feed the thesis that there is always a second reason behind every event. It is the conspiracy, the science that imagines there is not much to do in life as well as creating second versions.

Is Turkey also part of this phenomenon or is it really rotten?

We make the point.

Whether there are flaws, holes or gray areas on what happened the 15 July does not need to be said. Let's talk about a coup of the rest and not a country fair. When the two helicopters sent for the Marmaris attack arrived over the Erdogan hotel, the president had already left for two hours. Something does not come back.

Erdogan could count on the full control of MIT, the Police and a part of the Armed Forces, this is evident. This does not mean that the attempt to putsch was there and that every time a coup fails someone, from invented chairs, he calls it clumsy, from an operetta or a clown.

Let's see better.

Like every country with solid institutional bases (Turkey is) Armed Forces and Police respond to two different values: the Armed Forces represent the State, the flag, the "crown", the ontological continuity of a nation. It is no coincidence that the Corazzieri who are assigned the task of defending the Quirinale are Carabinieri. The police forces, in almost all the countries now demilitarized, are linked viceversa to the executive power, that is to the governments. The State Police is not by chance guarding Palazzo Chigi ...  

When there is a commingling between the two sectors, then the levers of power are intertwined in a way incompatible with democracy. In Turkey the clash between -Polis and the military coup was serious and, beyond the constraints and interpretations, showed a clear dichotomy inside the buildings of Ankara: on the one hand the new system built by Erdogan that leverages young masses Islamized in the name of a Turkish renaissance; on the other, a bourgeoisie, a fusion of conservatives and liberal pro-western litanies that rely on the Armed Forces to keep Turkey in a modern track.

A part of the army, produced by Erdogan's new course, evidently followed the government and the putsch failed. To believe that everything was programmed to the millennium from the first hour is questionable for two valid reasons:

  • Erdogan's purges, which we talk about at this time, are not really new. The systematic replacement of prosecutors, governors and senior officers of the Armed Forces takes place without interruption from the 2011 without anyone in the West having to say. Same for the print gag.
  • the first official reactions of USA and Europe to the coup took place at dawn, 5 hours after the start of the clashes. The fact suggests that there was a western wink to the coup leaders, without embarrassing involvement. How to say: "We have nothing to do with it, but if Erdogan falls, so much the better ..."

What we are witnessing is actually the acceleration of a disturbing process that we have been talking about in this column for more than a year. Turkey is "Arabizing" both in the organization of power and in its political content.

There are four elements that converge in this sense:

  1. the figure of the charismatic leader, on the model of the rais Arab, which justifies its investiture with a plebiscitary democracy
  2. the growing control of the armed forces, all the more necessary if the rais he is not a soldier
  3. the development of a politicized "youth" that interprets the ambitions of the president's party
  4. the confessional instrument as a social glue and antitodo to "conspiracies" from abroad

These four presumptions, connected to an adequate use of balances of representations (linguistic, ethnic, religious ...) and to a variable degree of repression, are the foundations of a typical Arab regime.

Turkey, a country in antithesis with the Arab world, has been external to all this for decades. Although not an example of representative democracy (but who is really in the West?) Has produced stability and political alternation for years. Now things change.

The echo of Middle Eastern litanies resounds more strongly from Ankara. Nothing new, perhaps, but with every certainty something serious.

It should be kept in mind that Turkey is not Egypt: it is a fundamental member of NATO and at least on paper, on the access ramp to the European Union.

USA and Europe can not afford to lose Ankara. Pantomime or not that it was the coup attempt of the 15 July, this is the only thing that matters and with all evidence is what is happening.

(photo: Türk Kara Kuvvetleri)