Reading the news of these last hours, relative to the miraculous 19 pages of the Mogherini plan for immigration, the verse of the well-known Sanremo song of Povia comes to mind [...] when the idiots do Boo [...].
In addition to an absurd distribution of migratory flows on the theme of - the immigrant here you have to put it - (Francesco Salvi nda) and some rant about the bombing of boats, no other solution appears to enter into the merits of the problem, therefore the writer feels to call a fool to those who have put their wits on this proposed simple solution to a complex problem.
Net of the insults, however, it is essential to fully address the issue by marrying the so-called right-wing approach: in the first case the failed project to create identification and reception centers already in Libyan territory is condemned, just as the concept of quotas for the distribution of migratory flows - but which are zucchini ?.
At the same time we share the progressive positions that attack those who believe the choice to cancel the instrument, that is, the vessels used for the transport of desperate people, as a panacea for all ills and not as a dangerous palliative.
For what we have said, then we try to approach the problem in a "military" way by reasoning in steps and we do not have the experts to the detriment if the doctrine is not fully respected.
1st step - let's frame the question: there is a consistent and uncontrolled influx of migrants from Africa and Asia, these migrants partly flee from wars, partly pursue the Western model of life today fully in crisis, but they do not know it. It is Europe's job to contain and regulate the flow without turning it into a demographic bomb.
2st step - we observe the environment in which we must operate, obviously without limiting ourselves to the Mediterranean, but expanding the horizons through a holistic approach, paradoxically we will discover that the Mediterranean is the tip of the iceberg, the problems are elsewhere, and they also have names: comparison between Sunni and Shiite world for the control of the Middle East and of energy and water resources, management of Palestinian refugees in Jordan, Syria and Lebanon, growing political and economic power of Turkey, failed states in Libya, Syria, Nigeria, Somalia, Ethiopia, Russia USA crisis .
3st step - it is necessary to decide what to do and this is the crucial issue, the EU does not have effective decision-making tools because it is not a state and therefore finds itself devoid of national interests, the real engine for choices, especially in foreign policy; However, trying to replace the Commission, through a work of abstraction, we examine what strategies it is possible to implement: the most advantageous and most immediate situation would be to make agreements with the Shiite world and consequently with Russia for the containment of departures through mediated crisis management, but the Ukrainian question, the hysteria of the Baltic countries and the interests of the Sunni Arab countries prevent this choice, especially given the total refusal of the American Congress to a solution of this kind. Another solution would be to intervene in all areas of greatest crisis through a system of priorities for which Libya should be occupied, the Sael should be controlled in a decisive manner, Iraq once again occupied and Syria controlled, all seeking diplomatic mediation with Arabia. Saudi, Qatar and Turkey, obviously involving Russia and China in the whole negotiation. As can be seen also the second hypothesis, the most burdensome internal human life and economic costs, sees in the number of key elements the intervention of Russia and China, two actors who instead would like to leave each other out of every way at all costs. choice.
To continue with our reasoning we proceed to the 4st step - the theoretical test of the chosen scenario and then we conclude with the decision and action. What has been said unfortunately remains a theoretical construct, however incomplete and full of constraints (what I have to do, ed.) And limits (what I cannot do, ed.) Placed by decision makers other than Europe, as mentioned without tools in international relations. , it is for these reasons that idiots boooh and the balance of power that influence the lives of half a billion Europeans, mobilizing three billion desperate people between Asia and Africa, are actually decided in niche, where a few dozen people have decided that gold is worth more than blood, but for how long?
