The prisoner's dilemma at the time of Latorre and Girone

(To Andrea Pastore)
01/04/15

In nine days, the marine non-commissioned officer Massimiliano Latorre, after a period of convalescence in Italy, will have to return to Kerala, the departure of the Italian military will cause the usual jumble of controversies with pre-established fragmentation that will be resolved within a title on the news of 20 , however, the problem remains.

Sure Latorre could refuse to return to India, but this would lead to the creation of a situation very similar to the mathematical game called "prisoner's dilemma".

The logical-mathematical puzzle tells of two prisoners captured and imprisoned in two separate rooms, both of them are presented with three possible destinies connected with the confession or not of their own guilt: in the event that one of the two confessed and the other did not to the prisoner the confessed offender would have the penalty annulled, while the other would have been given a sentence of seven years, otherwise if both had confessed, then each would have been given the sentence of six years, the last hypothesis, the one in which no one of the two had admitted the guilt provides for a sentence of one year for each prisoner.

In the case of navy riflemen, we have the two prisoners, Latorre and Girone, there is no evidence to offer to the accusers, but we will replace them with the return or otherwise of the mariner currently hospitalized in Italy, in fact, failure to return one would likely lead to exacerbation of Italian-Indian relations with consequent detention of the other ad libitum, while Massimiliano Latorre's return to the sub-continent would determine the restart of Dante's group of postponements made by the Indian courts, last hypothesis, however extreme would be an Italian military intervention with consequent exfiltration di Girone from India and subsequent trial in Italy. 

It is clear that the last choice in the above list, besides disturbing the prisoner's dilemma, would enter into Aristotelian logic and in particular in the hypothesis of unreality, as the first two examples seem viable, but still place India in an advantageous position. .

It would seem then that the granting of a period of convalescence and its extension in favor of Latorre was a diplomatic refinement aimed at destroying the last Italian ambitions to save goats and cabbages.

Our naval officer will return to India and not only the controversy will not find a solution for many years, but will remain a boulder on Italian diplomatic credibility, going to further support the thesis of those who consider the prisoner's dilemma a game that does not it has solutions connected to the logical approach, but on the other hand, in the marò affair, we have seen very little.