History returns, and it does so in the worst way by recalling the fiftieth anniversary of the Yom Kippur War. The operation Al Aqsa flood, unleashed by Hamas, catches the Israeli defense system unprepared which, politically, cannot fail to recognize the need to proclaim a state of war.
The attack was rapid, bloody, evidently organized given the implementation methods, which saw the saturation launch of ballistic devices, and an infiltration of elements that they did not hesitate to open fire on civilian targets.
Since 06.30 this morning, thousands of rockets (at least 5.000 in the first phase) have been launched from Gaza at Israeli targets; the city of Sderot has been heavily infiltrated by Hamas elements: videos circulating on social media show men dressed in black with white armbands opening fire on Israeli patrols. The number of infiltrators is unspecified.
Muhammad Al-Deif, commander of Hamas, declared revolution and called on all Palestinians to join the conflict. In the same way, while Admiral Hagari announced the Israeli mobilization, the general staff proclaimed the start of the operation Swords of Iron, while Star of David fighters began to strike Gaza.
There is no doubt that what the Gazans have done against unarmed civilians, for kidnappings and deportation methods, and after having placed their command centers inside civilian centers violates any rules of war; the definition of the kidnapped Israelis as "prisoners of war" is surreal and criminal.
As on 6 October 50 years ago, Israel suffered an attack of considerable magnitude, which leads us to ask ourselves, from a technical point of view, what everything will lead to next. Hamas knows that it will not be able to resist the Israeli return which, if respectful of tradition, it can only be very hard, also in light of an initial budget that will worsen, according to what reported by Magen David Adom.
As communicated by Minister Gallant, the Army is ready for war, and has prepared the recall of reservist forces.
So what will the sides be, now that the banks have been broken? And above all, how many and what weapons can Hamas actually have at its disposal thanks to Iranian support also from Lebanon? With whom will desirable peace negotiations be established, assuming that the idea finds favor with the contenders and above all with those who support the action from afar?
The country, which was preparing for yet another day of protest against the justice reform, woke up in the worst possible way, and even Yair Lapid announced support for a harsh military response.
It cannot be excluded that Hamas misinterpreted the moment, assuming Israeli weakness due to the political and social events of the moment. If Israel seemed unprepared at the beginning, it does not mean that it will not adopt severe initiatives later, given that offenses against civilians and especially kidnappings similar to deportations cannot fail to recall other similar operations from a past that can only be imagined.
Presuming to achieve such rapid success as to induce negotiations in Jerusalem could prove to be a mistake of rare gravity, especially if Hezbollah, as it seems, avoids intervening for the moment given the precarious Lebanese situation and the American warnings.
Another mistake that will almost certainly be made will consist in the launching of rockets towards Tel Aviv, indiscriminate launches that will only exacerbate the response. Israel's reservists are already close to returning to service while Tehran has not failed to express its satisfaction, thus placing itself once again outside of history, despite the clumsy attempts to give it a sugarcoated and unreal image.
It should be highlighted that the attack coincided with the ongoing diplomatic activities between the Saudi Kingdom and Israel under the aegis of the Abraham Accords. In the background the inanity of the UN.
If the intent was to bend a country to live its internal life, perhaps too much given the surrounding situation, it does not seem successful, given that the attack seems to have catalyzed the reaction of the entire nation.
Frame: X/Twitter
