The conference on Libya in Palermo: the word to readers and conclusions not politically correct

(To David Rossi)
11/11/18

On July 30, while visiting the White House, Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte announced: "we are organizing a conference on Libya with President Trump". Well, apparently the US will visit: no high-level Washington representative is expected to attend the Palermo conference on Libya. Least of all the US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo: Trump will send a diplomat expert on Libyan issues. With Merkel absent and Putin sending a deputy minister, just to give a sop to a country that, in words, every two by three would like to remove the sanctions on Russia (but then regularly vote in favor of their confirmation), in the end only the more "pop" than Western leaders, French President Emmanuel Macron avoided sending a stranger, sending the foreign minister to represent Paris before the "big four" of Libya. Only Egypt should be represented at the highest level by President Al Sisi, which speaks volumes about the role of the African country in Libya. We imagine keeping the label as problematic as ever, with great powers represented by very small "fish". We asked our readers what they think of the civil war in the African country, how they judge the action of the Conte cabinet in that country, but above all what results do they expect from the conference that Italy has strongly wanted on its territory. Now, let's give them the floor, reserving a final comment.

   

The Sergio Pession player is a habitué of this category. His analysis seems the most comprehensive, even if it exceeds in evaluating Egypt "sold in Moscow": those who know Arabs and Africans know that at most they allow to be hired for a ride ...

With racing horses, changing your bet is impossible. Italy for reasons that have now been eviscerated in many places, has bet on Serraj, and as far as the burns, run now from Haftar, after losing all the opportunities to make friends, is useless. Haftar is a military pragmatist who does not sympathize with France (of course), but makes a good impression after all; moreover he can not even rely more on Italy (how to blame him?). Berlusconi's Italy turned its back on Gaddafi, while Renzi's backed Serraj, and some things can not be forgotten. The embarrassing diarch Salvini-Di Maio, whoever says Conte is, if possible, even more unreliable. As the writer sees it, the fact that the meeting takes place in Italy will only affect the quality of refreshments. All the words that will be spent, will be at the hot winds of the desert, because Serraj, if anything will sit in front of Haftar, can only accept with the stomach ache the fact of compromise, or oppose as always, but it does not matter, has the days counted. On the other hand, Haftar (army strong) knows that the people will sooner or later support him, and his shoulders are relatively covered by an increasingly pro-Russian Egypt. Migrants and oil are more foreign problems than their own and will hold these cards in their hands waiting for the game of those directly affected, taking advantage of the time factor that perhaps it causes. From this summit will emerge only good New Year's resolutions and as formal as ridiculous handshakes. In the near future Haftar will grow stronger and will need the help of a Russian looking for ports in the Mediterranean (with boots already in Egypt). Italy / Serraj first, France later, will remain dry, while the US will play a Libya in civil war and will move in this direction, playing UN cards and terrorism as always.

   

The writer likes, in many respects, the position of the reader Angelo Baccarani. Maybe, it seems excessive confidence in Lieutenant General Khalifa Haftar, a leader now seventy-five, with a great future ... behind him, that the Italian press and politics insist on painting filofrancese, a bit 'as the fox defined immature grapes that he could not grasp. 

My opinion is that Italy should have sided immediately with General Haftar, the only one who could immediately restore that order in the country that had failed after the (for us) absurd crusade against Gaddafi. We got involved in supporting the "Arab Springs" which, in hindsight, was triggered by France and Great Britain solely and exclusively for economic-financial reasons (although I'm not sure they have achieved their aims in this sense). If we supported Haftar, we would have an immediate advantage both on a political and economic level (just think of all the related activities for our companies, which we have lost in this absurd adventure ...), as well as showing France and the UK (and the world ) that we are a country to be respected in foreign policy. Furthermore, we would easily block migratory flows, which were not so critical during the Gaddafi period. But I'm afraid it will remain only a dream ...

The situation in Libya now seems extremely confusing and I am also quite certain that France and GB will continue to work "in the shadows" to maintain chaos (it would not be new). For now I would say that we are lucky that Russia is still engaged in Syria and that perhaps it does not have enough interests in Libya ...

   

"Gustosa", even if a bit complicated, the analysis of the reader Luca Morakx, who paints an "as it should be" Italy that manages, with his feet on the territory, his own interests in Libya. And those of the Libyans themselves. The idea we take is the following: in such a complex country only one serves to "serve" all the others, to prevent them from slaughtering each other. How are they doing ...

Today we offer you a tasty recipe: Libyan Pizza! To prepare it you only need quality ingredients !!!!

Difficulty: very high, for experts. 

Preparation: about two weeks.

Doses: for a country.

Cost: average.

Cooking times: long.

Ingredients: a united country, aware of its own interests and the protection of Libyans; an armored government, which is not at the mercy of internal and above all external attacks (I would say that this is the fundamental ingredient: if well leavened it creates a solid and substantial base otherwise the dough becomes hard and burns and if it burns you starve ALL); an opposition to the government that is pro-nation and that does the interests of the nation (this ingredient is very difficult to find in Italy but in European countries, very widespread: who knows, then, why? Let's say that it is the winning touch that will allow you to prepare excellent pizzas all over the world. If lacking, the alternative is authoritarianism, personally I don't like it, but if there is no alternative ... cooking is cooking, war is war); an army (with a General 60.000 men and free play); a health system; entrepreneurship as required.

Preparation:

After having well prepared all the ingredients, the advantages of eating Pizza are explained to the Libyan people: it is not as hateful as omelette, it is not heavy like sausage, it is not obscene like porridge. From Pizza you can have many commercial and cultural advantages; perhaps a Libyan digest a good pizza more, certainly similar to his culinary tastes and then with pizza you grow up and become big. Hospitals are arranged here and there, perhaps one for each tribe, and they protect themselves with about 10.000 men by mixing them well. I usually add companies and entrepreneurs right away (to my taste it works), a political guarantee is created where it is explained that everyone must be happy to get the result, 30.000 men are distributed in pieces in the southern border at free play, if needed, you shoot and shake your hand, it is explained to the oil companies present that nothing will be taken away from them, Italy checks that everyone is fed, it is explained to the locals that the oil will end, but maybe the sun and the bathing establishments no, the remaining twenty thousand men are paid to control the ports, cities and construction sites that will immediately begin to develop, we will burn our fingers, we will get our hands dirty, we will lose ingredients, we will pour milk, but if we want become chefs… .maybe international, perhaps inventing Pirelli stars instead of Michelin… Maybe if pizza succeeds, Tunis will also want to eat well after years of omelettes. A Good Pizza always changes your life.

From the field kitchen, tired of being a dishwasher. Adis Abeba.

   

The writer has decided to publish the reader's commentary Tarcisio Veschi, because it is too short but very rich in meaning. It expresses a concept similar to that of the previous piece, but highlights well how Italy, after all, is well-liked by the Libyans. More than France.

Italy, if it proves to be once again a cohesive and determined country, will be able to achieve the objectives desired by the contenders, and also ours, restoring a peace and a status quo for French bombardment, also proposing itself as guarantor.

   

Marco is an old acquaintance of this column. We like to read it because it highlights two things: 1) that Italy could / should have foreseen the crisis of 2011 in the Arab world and 2) that Libya - like other North African countries - is by its nature porous to migratory phenomena mass.

The whole world knew that the little chemists were three: Saddam, Gaddafi, Bashar Al-Assad.

Italy (CDX government and CSX secret services) in 2009 was unable to plan the succession to Gaddafi. Gaddafi was a bloody dictator, an elderly man, he could not have been eternal, sooner or later the problem of succession would open up. It wasn't hard to imagine that someone could have removed him, like Saddam! If Italy had imposed Gaddafi's abdication as a condition of Libyan customs clearance in 2009, perhaps France and the USA would not have seized the opportunity of the Tobruk revolt, perhaps there would have been no civil war in Libya ...
Italian politicians speak of Franco-Anglo-American hostility against Italian oil interests in Libya: I only see growing international competitiveness. In the future it will be worse: humanity is overpopulated, there will be shortages of energy, drinking water, food, raw materials, etc.

Building an easy model, it is immediate to understand how the Italian peninsula is destined to be the Trojan horse of Chartago (Editor's note: the excess of African population), for the invasion of Europe. In 2050, Africans will be 2.4 billion, if 1 in 2 Africans migrate due to climate change: 1.2 billion Africans will be on the move. Not all Africans will head for the Mediterranean coasts in Northeast Africa, however: Tunisia has a low demographic curve, favorable surface sea currents towards Sicily, Sardinia, the Tyrrhenian Sea, and is a territory of interest for the green stream. Libya: has a low demographic curve, a country rich in foreign currency, oil and gas fields, without defensible borders and numerous oases with stable desert routes. Egypt has the Nile River, and the great Nasser freshwater reservoir, the important gateway to the Suez Canal.
In the 2020 decade, there are likely to be flashpoints in North Africa for sub-Saharan migrations. In the decade 2030 it is possible to raise Chartago, in the decade 2040 it is probable that it will rise, in 2050 the rise of Chartago in North East Africa is certain.

   

The reader will forgive the writer if he lets himself go, instead of an analytical and reasoned conclusion, to an apparently "belly". Who said that you can not live with, on the border, a real Chernobyl of illegal immigration? And that, even if we bring peace to Libya, would the reactor cease to emit desperate flows? And finally, who said that we, as well as the French, the British, the Americans, the Qatari, the Saudis, the Turks and the Russians, are not interested in an unstable and perennial struggle in Libya? In short, we explain these apparent boutades in a serious way:

  • Like Turkey with Syria and Iran, Russia with the Islamic countries of Central Asia and China and many other countries "besieged", in reality we live (indeed, we live well) even like this: as Italians, we are quite hypocritical from deny that agriculture and industries with low added value, some tens of thousands of desperate people a year, to pay two euro per hour without taxes and fees, are comfortable and how. That's not what-let's not hide behind a finger! - happened to Italian workers during the boom years? The industrial districts of the North had a bulimic hunger in arms of former southern peasants to be thrown into blast furnaces and other devils from the 2.0 industry, other than 4.0. Do we want to ask the Turks and the Russians if they are citizens or millions of strangers, swallowed up like new coolies, working in 19th century mines and cultivated fields in infernal conditions? Dear readers, picking those tomatoes so juicy and those strawberries that you love so much costs this and other sacrifices. If you say you do not know, I can not believe you.
  • Perhaps today we do not remember it any more, but to stop the illegal migratory flow from Libya, the governments of the previous decade, in particular the Berlusconi IV, had to promise - and in part already pay - to Gaddafi for investments in public works and infrastructure. The reader can ignore it, but Libya, like the "oil" countries of the Persian Gulf, has an infinitesimal population of citizens compared to the residents. Which are mostly sub-Saharan Africans (camiti or "blacks", if you prefer) exploited by blood in agriculture, breeding and construction in our former colony. Already, the old story of the Arab merchants and exploiters of African slaves. She goes on to explain to the beautiful souls all political correctness: they believe that the "traffickers" are to strike and rape the illegal migrants. No, they are the natives. And they do not care at all.
  • A strong man. A unifying element among dozens of tribes that hate each other and are rose by ancestral rancor. A new (and younger) Gaddafi. But also, potentially, one capable of taking away from the regional powers (including Italy) one of the rosy bones of Libya. We accept bets on who would really like a peaceful and unified Libya. But we are serious ...

In short, we prepare the popcorn: for a few days, Italy will host an important international event. Almost. Then, all enemies as before.

(photo: Presidency of the Council of Ministers)